PSMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSMT - Pricesmart Inc
$152.48
1.12 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+4.13%
30d:
-0.38%
90d:
+24.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.57
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.56
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSMT is currently trading at $152.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.08 to $153.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $152.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSMT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$145.08 -
$153.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($143.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$145.08 -
$153.26
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.08
Resistance Level
$152.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.62
Wall Street Target
$143.00
(-5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$152.27
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$152.73
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$151.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 24.3%)
$291.03
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.3%)
$287.50
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.3%)
$244.37
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.90
Bull Case
$211.31
(+45%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case
$192.10
(+32%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$95.68
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Beatriz V Infante
SELL
1995 shares
2026-01-12
John D Hildebrandt
SELL
7421 shares
2026-01-12
Leon C Janks
SELL
3000 shares
2026-01-12
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