PTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTC - PTC, INC
$139.04
1.42 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
-6.83%
30d:
-11.21%
90d:
-21.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
PTC is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $160 2026-05-15 with 21 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PTC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.10
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTC is currently trading at $139.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $147.82 to $160.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 104.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PTC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.53 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PTC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.53 (+38.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$147.82 -
$160.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PTC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($190.53)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$147.82 -
$160.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.50
Resistance Level
$158.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.63
Wall Street Target
$190.53
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.4%
Profit Margin
28.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.90
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$122.63
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$115.76
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$137.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$233.39
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 8.0%)
$173.32
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 8.0%)
$147.33
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.79
Bull Case
$201.92
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$183.56
(+23%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$101.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$163.79
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corinna Lathan
SELL
675 shares
2026-03-16
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-24
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