Is PUBM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PUBM is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: PUBM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of PUBM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PUBM to be between $7.60 and $8.79. The current price is $7.26.

What is the analyst price target for PUBM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PUBM is $12.17. This implies a potential upside of 67.6% from current levels.

PUBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PUBM - PubMatic, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$7.26

-0.19 (-2.55%) ▼

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 24d

Smart Money Accumulation

PUBM is down 6.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-03-20 with 701 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PUBM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PUBM is currently trading at $7.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.60 to $8.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 48.4) compared to its historical average (57.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PUBM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.17 (+67.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $7.60 - $8.79

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 67.6% below Wall St target ($12.17)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $7.60 - $8.79

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.58 (8.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.22

Resistance Level $7.96

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 48.40

Wall Street Target $12.17 (+67.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -22.7%

Profit Margin -2.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 48.4 vs 57.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $6.87 (-5%)

2-Year Target $6.50 (-11%)

3-Year Target $6.15 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 48→57) $7.25 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 48.4, Growth: -30.2%) $5.29 (+-27%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -30.2%) $2.44 (-66%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -30.2%) $2.07 (-72%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.4 to 57.1

Stabilization Target: $8.56 (+18.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +18.0%

Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM

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Technical Signals Check

Is PUBM showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Rajeev K Goel SELL 44000 shares 2025-10-06

Steven Pantelick SELL 15186 shares 2025-10-03

Amar K Goel SELL 4468 shares 2025-10-02

View Insider Activity Scanner

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Advanced PUBM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PUBM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for PUBM

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