QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$127.07
-0.04 (-0.03%)
▼
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
-10.74%
90d:
-27.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCOM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCOM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$211.53
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.35
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $127.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.34 to $141.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $126.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.67 (+22.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $126.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.67 (+22.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$129.34 -
$141.20
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($155.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$129.34 -
$141.20
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.68
Resistance Level
$134.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.42
Wall Street Target
$155.67
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.86
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$116.86
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$112.07
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$126.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.2%)
$249.64
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 12.2%)
$127.54
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$108.41
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.96
Bull Case
$285.78
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case
$259.80
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$88.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$143.56
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Heather S Ace
SELL
3200 shares
2026-02-09
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