QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$151.59
-0.63 (-0.41%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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2 traders called QCOM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCOM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QCOM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.65
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.59
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $151.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.34 to $176.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.38 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $149.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.38 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$156.34 -
$176.73
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($190.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$156.34 -
$176.73
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.73
Resistance Level
$161.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.34
Wall Street Target
$190.38
(+25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$141.46
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$136.36
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$152.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.7%)
$297.74
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 2.7%)
$164.81
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 2.7%)
$140.09
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.00
Bull Case
$335.94
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case
$305.40
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$103.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$170.18
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
8335 shares
2025-10-20
Cristiano R Amon
SELL
150000 shares
2025-10-01
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QCOM price and gamma walls.
