QLYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$102.37
1.52 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
+13.72%
30d:
+21.81%
90d:
+18.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: QLYS is 7.1% above its trading range ($95.57). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: QLYS is 7.1% above its trading range ($95.57). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.97
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $102.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.75 to $95.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$83.75 -
$95.57
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QLYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($107.39)
- CAUTION: Extended 7.1% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.75 -
$95.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.69
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.63
Resistance Level
$101.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.39
Wall Street Target
$107.39
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.76
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$93.36
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$89.16
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$102.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.1%)
$236.07
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$133.04
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$113.08
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.57
Bull Case
$164.03
(+63%)
Analyst growth 48.3%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$149.12
(+48%)
Market implied 48.3%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$68.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$117.30
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 5:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce K Posey
SELL
65 shares
2026-03-13
Bruce K Posey
SELL
100 shares
2026-03-05
Joo Mi Kim
SELL
6799 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
