QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QXO - QXO, Inc.
$19.42
1.21 (6.64%)
▲
5d:
-3.81%
30d:
-15.27%
90d:
-7.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
QXO is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $27 2026-05-15 with 5,930 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.75
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $19.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.49 to $23.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (47.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.06, while resistance sits at $21.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: QXO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+68.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.06, while resistance sits at $21.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: QXO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.67 (+68.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.49 -
$23.52
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.2% below Wall St target ($32.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.49 -
$23.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.06
Resistance Level
$21.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.73
Wall Street Target
$32.67
(+68.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14725.0%
Profit Margin
-4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 47.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.48
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→48)
$22.81
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 86.9%)
$65.54
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 86.9%)
$49.28
(+154%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 86.9%)
$41.89
(+116%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.7 to 47.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.29
(+61.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QXO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.
