RAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RAL - Ralliant Corporation
$39.45
-0.47 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
-6.72%
30d:
-14.03%
90d:
-23.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.42
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.11
8.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RAL is currently trading at $39.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.66 to $45.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RAL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.55 (+20.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RAL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.55 (+20.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$41.66 -
$45.87
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($47.55)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.66 -
$45.87
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.54
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.47
Resistance Level
$43.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$47.55
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Profit Margin
-59.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.07
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$36.74
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$35.45
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$39.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$92.85
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 15.4%)
$60.55
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$51.47
(+31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$43.85
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Karen M Bick
SELL
2530 shares
2026-03-05
Karen M Bick
SELL
5485 shares
2026-03-03
Kate Mitchell
BUY
2350 shares
2026-02-10
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