RDWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RDWR - Radware Ltd.

Services-Business Services, NEC
$30.17
0.48 (1.62%) ▲
5d: +2.58%
30d: +1.34%
90d: +10.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RDWR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.68
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.88
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RDWR is currently trading at $30.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.86 to $30.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RDWR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.10, while resistance sits at $31.46.

Market Sentiment: RDWR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $27.86 - $30.33
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 18th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 10.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $27.86 - $30.33
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.26 (7.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.10
Resistance Level $31.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 6, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.55
Wall Street Target $31.00 (+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.9%
Profit Margin 6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.4% premium
PE vs Historical 22.6 vs 20.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.70 (+3%)
2-Year Target $31.74 (+7%)
3-Year Target $32.82 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→20) PE COMPRESSION $29.69 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.5, Growth: 14.5%) $44.56 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%) $43.04 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.5%) $36.59 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.11
Bull Case $35.85 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case $29.69 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case $22.71 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 06, 2026 2:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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