RELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RELL - Richardson Electronics Ltd

WHOLESALE-ELECTRONIC PARTS & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$12.09
0.52 (4.49%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RELL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.63
27.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RELL is currently trading at $12.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.49 to $11.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.0) compared to its historical average (49.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 221.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RELL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.43, while resistance sits at $12.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: RELL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $10.49 - $11.47
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 42th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above fair value)
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.49 - $11.47
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.28 (10.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.43
Resistance Level $12.69
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.04
Wall Street Target $12.00 (+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 221.1%
Profit Margin 0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -24.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.0 vs 49.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -24.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.41 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.37 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.43 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→50) $19.89 (+72%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 150.0%) $41.39 (+258%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 150.0%) $39.05 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 17.9, Growth: 150.0%) $33.19 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.45
Bull Case $14.60 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case $12.09 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case $9.25 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 49.6
Stabilization Target: $27.28 (+135.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +135.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kenneth Halverson SELL 4200 shares 2025-10-16
Robert J Ben SELL 9500 shares 2025-10-14
Kathleen Mcnally SELL 8417 shares 2025-08-12

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Advanced RELL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RELL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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