REXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$33.12
0.27 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
-0.39%
30d:
-11.23%
90d:
-14.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: REXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.64
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $33.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.45 to $36.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.7) is in line with its historical norms (36.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.25 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.25 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$33.45 -
$36.88
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($41.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.45 -
$36.88
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.14
Resistance Level
$35.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.68
Wall Street Target
$41.25
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Profit Margin
21.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.7 vs 36.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.49
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.87
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$31.27
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→37)
$33.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.7, Growth: -9.5%)
$24.57
(+-26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -9.5%)
$14.57
(-56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: -9.5%)
$12.39
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$41.49
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.0%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$37.72
(+9%)
Market implied 11.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$23.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.7 to 36.8
Stabilization Target:
$35.14
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David P Stockert
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-27
Laura E Clark
BUY
5310 shares
2026-02-27
Michael Fitzmaurice
BUY
2650 shares
2026-02-27
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