REXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REXR - REXFORD INDUSTRIAL REALTY, INC.
$40.53
0.36 (0.90%)
▲
SELL
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⚠️ CAUTION: REXR is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
⚠️ CAUTION: REXR is extended with warning signals. Consider taking profits or waiting for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.86
Based on -9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.85
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REXR is currently trading at $40.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.12 to $40.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.6) is in line with its historical norms (35.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Given the valuation headwinds and technical position, caution is warranted at these levels.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$39.12 -
$40.50
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.12 -
$40.50
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.71
Resistance Level
$41.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.59
Wall Street Target
$43.94
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.4%
Profit Margin
34.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
37.6 vs 35.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.79
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$42.63
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.6, Growth: -22.8%)
$29.28
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -22.8%)
$17.37
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -22.8%)
$14.77
(-63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$32.20
(-21%)
Analyst growth -24.7%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$29.27
(-28%)
Market implied -24.7%, PE stable at 27.4
Bear Case
$26.45
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced REXR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's REXR price and gamma walls.
