REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock

WHOLESALE-HARDWARE
$34.26
0.61 (1.81%) ▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REZI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.77
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.04
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $34.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.63 to $37.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1114.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.22, while resistance sits at $38.42.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+33.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $34.63 - $37.23
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($45.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $34.63 - $37.23
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.22
Resistance Level $38.42
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.05
Wall Street Target $45.00 (+33.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1114.3%
Profit Margin -8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.1 vs 12.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.31 (-1%)
2-Year Target $32.98 (-2%)
3-Year Target $32.65 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) $33.61 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.4%) $79.36 (+136%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.4%) $42.87 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.4%) $36.44 (+8%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 12.4
Stabilization Target: $34.64 (+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
14
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Channel Holdings Ii L.P.… BUY 228573 shares 2025-09-03
Channel Holdings Ii L.P.… BUY 180000 shares 2025-09-02
Andrew C Teich BUY 29460 shares 2025-08-29

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Advanced REZI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's REZI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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