RFIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RFIL - RF Industries Ltd
$17.81
-2.04 (-10.28%)
▼
5d:
-14.99%
30d:
-5.17%
90d:
+65.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 15, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RFIL is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RFIL is down 15.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.11
26.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RFIL is currently trading at $17.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.99 to $20.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RFIL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.34, while resistance sits at $19.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RFIL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.34, while resistance sits at $19.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.99 -
$20.36
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.99 -
$20.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.03
(17.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.34
Resistance Level
$19.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.01
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.52
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$15.91
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$17.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.0%)
$41.60
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 29.0%)
$38.22
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 29.0%)
$32.49
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.80
Bull Case
$21.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$17.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$13.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.94
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RFIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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