RGEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RGEN - Repligen Corp

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$149.37
-7.00 (-4.48%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: RGEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.76
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.94
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RGEN is currently trading at $149.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $160.21 to $169.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 75.4) is in line with its historical norms (78.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RGEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $151.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.89 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $160.21 - $169.12
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($190.89)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $160.21 - $169.12
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$9.60 (6.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $151.70
Resistance Level $174.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 75.36
Wall Street Target $190.89 (+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 160.0%
Profit Margin 0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 75.4 vs 78.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $154.34 (-1%)
2-Year Target $152.33 (-3%)
3-Year Target $150.35 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 75β†’78) $156.42 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 75.4, Growth: 24.4%) $301.04 (+93%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.4%) $89.08 (-43%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.4%) $75.72 (-52%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (88x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (75x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 87.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.70
Bull Case $180.36 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 92.1
Base Case $149.37 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 87.7
Bear Case $114.27 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 79.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 75.4 to 78.4
Stabilization Target: $162.68 (+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Martin D Madaus BUY 1800 shares 2025-08-08

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Advanced RGEN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RGEN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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