ROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROG - Rogers Corporation
$106.00
-3.33 (-3.05%)
▼
5d:
+3.52%
30d:
-1.7%
90d:
+12.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ROG is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $110 2026-04-17 with 10 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ROG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ROG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.83
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROG is currently trading at $106.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.54 to $109.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (28.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.06, while resistance sits at $110.72. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ROG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.33 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.06, while resistance sits at $110.72. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ROG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.33 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$102.54 -
$109.68
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$102.54 -
$109.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.19
(4.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.06
Resistance Level
$110.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.09
Wall Street Target
$124.33
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.4%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 28.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.50
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$99.12
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$95.85
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→29)
$106.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$209.08
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.4%)
$179.13
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.4%)
$152.26
(+44%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 28.9
Stabilization Target:
$117.43
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Reed Webb
SELL
954 shares
2026-03-02
Michael Reed Webb
SELL
1197 shares
2026-02-19
Brian Keith Larabee
SELL
775 shares
2025-10-31
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Advanced ROG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROG price and gamma walls.
