RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$9.29
0.32 (3.57%)
▲
5d:
+31.4%
30d:
+10.2%
90d:
+70.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: RPD is 13.0% above its trading range ($8.22). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: RPD is 13.0% above its trading range ($8.22). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.48
Based on -10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $9.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.79 to $8.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.29. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $9.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.29. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.79 -
$8.22
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
RPD is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 21.5% above Wall St target ($7.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with -0.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.79 -
$8.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.28
Resistance Level
$9.52
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.98
Wall Street Target
$7.29
(-21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 5.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.78
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$10.85
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.24
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -24.4%)
$33.57
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: -24.4%)
$9.22
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: -24.4%)
$7.84
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$19.73
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$17.94
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$6.10
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
Scott M Murphy
SELL
764 shares
2026-01-22
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