RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$6.50
0.27 (4.33%)
▲
5d:
-5.8%
30d:
+12.65%
90d:
-9.47%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
RPD is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7 2026-06-18 with 4,179 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.03
Based on -8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $6.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.52 to $6.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.01, while resistance sits at $7.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.01, while resistance sits at $7.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RPD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.48
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.01
Resistance Level
$7.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.19
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.04
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$5.61
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$5.21
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$6.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -21.2%)
$34.05
(+424%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: -21.2%)
$6.46
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: -21.2%)
$5.49
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$14.26
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$12.96
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$4.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$8.07
(+24.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
Scott M Murphy
SELL
764 shares
2026-01-22
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
41545 shares
2025-11-28
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Advanced RPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RPD price and gamma walls.
