RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$188.60
-1.11 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-3.19%
30d:
-6.92%
90d:
+1.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
RTX is down 4.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $220 2026-03-20 with 8,815 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$264.21
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $188.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.79 to $207.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $190.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.21 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $190.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.21 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$196.79 -
$207.74
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($217.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$196.79 -
$207.74
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.65
Resistance Level
$208.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.27
Wall Street Target
$217.21
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.54
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$181.45
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$177.46
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$189.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$253.71
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$224.92
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$191.18
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.95
Bull Case
$330.67
(+70%)
Analyst growth 51.7%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$300.61
(+54%)
Market implied 51.7%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$134.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.3 to 27.0
Stabilization Target:
$202.72
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dantaya M Williams
SELL
12713 shares
2026-02-23
Neil G Mitchill Jr
SELL
35755 shares
2026-02-19
Ramsaran Maharajh
SELL
15124 shares
2026-02-19
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