RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$200.93
1.05 (0.53%)
ā²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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4 traders called RTX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$271.65
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $200.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.08 to $198.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $205.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $205.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$186.08 -
$198.55
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($209.73)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$186.08 -
$198.55
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.50
Resistance Level
$205.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.62
Wall Street Target
$209.73
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.28
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$196.69
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$195.12
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27ā27)
$200.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 11.4%)
$276.34
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.4%)
$231.53
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$196.80
(-2%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.97
Bull Case
$331.53
(+65%)
Analyst growth 51.1%, PE expands to 44.2
Base Case
$301.39
(+50%)
Market implied 51.1%, PE stable at 40.1
Bear Case
$135.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.6 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$205.02
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
25968 shares
2025-08-27
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SELL
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