RVLV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.

RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
$27.65
-0.55 (-1.95%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RVLV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.57
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.09
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RVLV is currently trading at $27.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.08 to $31.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.4) is in line with its historical norms (31.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 91.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RVLV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $29.08 - $31.07
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 15th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($29.07)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.08 - $31.07
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.52 (9.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.73
Resistance Level $30.94
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.38
Wall Street Target $29.07 (+3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 91.6%
Profit Margin 4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 31.4 vs 31.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.12 (0%)
2-Year Target $28.03 (-1%)
3-Year Target $27.95 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→32) $28.23 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.4, Growth: 15.4%) $43.35 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.4%) $30.81 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.4%) $26.18 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case $36.65 (+33%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case $33.32 (+21%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case $19.41 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.4 to 31.7
Stabilization Target: $28.49 (+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced RVLV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RVLV price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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