SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$15.27
-0.04 (-0.26%) ▼
5d: +20.33%
30d: -23.03%
90d: +14.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAIL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $15.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.19 to $17.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 56.4) is in line with its historical norms (54.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.40, while resistance sits at $16.03.

Market Sentiment: SAIL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.02 (+24.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.19 - $17.62
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($19.02)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.19 - $17.62
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.40
Resistance Level $16.03
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 56.41
Wall Street Target $19.02 (+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.6%
Profit Margin -14.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 56.4 vs 54.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.50 (+2%)
2-Year Target $15.73 (+3%)
3-Year Target $15.97 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 56→54) PE COMPRESSION $15.29 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 56.4, Growth: 42.8%) $44.51 (+192%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.8%) $17.19 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 42.8%) $14.61 (-4%)
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan SELL 47444 shares 2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban… SELL 20082 shares 2026-04-09
Christopher Schmitt SELL 18813 shares 2026-04-09

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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.

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