SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
$13.55
0.37 (2.77%)
▲
5d:
+10.75%
30d:
+15.87%
90d:
-14.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
SAIL is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-06-18 with 355 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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2 traders called SAIL this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SAIL is 7.6% above its trading range ($12.59). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: SAIL is 7.6% above its trading range ($12.59). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $13.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.30 to $12.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 48.7) is in line with its historical norms (53.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.48 (+40.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.48 (+40.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.59
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($18.48)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.32
Resistance Level
$13.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.69
Wall Street Target
$18.48
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.7%
Profit Margin
-25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.7 vs 53.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.80
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.43
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$12.07
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→53)
$13.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.7, Growth: 42.8%)
$38.42
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$17.39
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 42.8%)
$14.78
(+12%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.7 to 53.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.37
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan
SELL
47444 shares
2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban…
SELL
20082 shares
2026-04-09
Christopher Schmitt
SELL
18813 shares
2026-04-09
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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.
