SANM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SANM - Sanmina Corp

PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS
$141.68
-12.75 (-8.26%) ▼
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SANM is down 20.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$385.95
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$239.64
40.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SANM is currently trading at $141.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $148.41 to $172.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SANM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $138.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.50 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $148.41 - $172.22
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($197.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $148.41 - $172.22
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $138.00
Resistance Level $185.29
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.75
Wall Street Target $197.50 (+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 59.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.3%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 18.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $138.99 (-10%)
2-Year Target $125.09 (-19%)
3-Year Target $112.58 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→18) $158.95 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.5%) $472.05 (+206%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 20.5%) $269.87 (+75%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 20.5%) $229.39 (+49%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.20
Bull Case $335.83 (+137%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case $305.30 (+116%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case $103.80 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 18.0
Stabilization Target: $218.04 (+41.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +41.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SANM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SANM price and gamma walls.

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