SBFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SBFG - SB Financial Group, Inc.

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$22.83
0.25 (1.11%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SBFG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.72
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.59
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SBFG is currently trading at $22.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.37 to $22.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SBFG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: SBFG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $21.37 - $22.43
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $21.37 - $22.43
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.08
Resistance Level $23.06
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.22
Wall Street Target $23.00 (+1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 82.9%
Profit Margin 21.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 8.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.83 (+1%)
2-Year Target $23.08 (+2%)
3-Year Target $23.33 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $22.53 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.3%) $61.91 (+174%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 4.3%) $25.59 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 4.3%) $21.75 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case $27.77 (+22%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case $25.24 (+11%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case $14.78 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SBFG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SBFG price and gamma walls.

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