SBGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SBGI - Sinclair, Inc. Class A Common Stock

TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS
$14.51
0.22 (1.54%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SBGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.42
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SBGI is currently trading at $14.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.74 to $15.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SBGI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.05, while resistance sits at $15.71.

Market Sentiment: SBGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.29 (+21.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $14.74 - $15.37
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 45th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($17.29)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.74 - $15.37
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.21 (8.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.05
Resistance Level $15.71
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.15
Wall Street Target $17.29 (+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -86.7%
Profit Margin -1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.93 (-3%)
2-Year Target $13.58 (-5%)
3-Year Target $13.24 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $14.30 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.2
Stabilization Target: $15.43 (+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SBGI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SBGI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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