SBRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBRA - Sabra Healthcare REIT, Inc.
$19.23
-0.21 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-2.53%
30d:
-6.51%
90d:
+1.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBRA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SBRA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.38
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.24
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBRA is currently trading at $19.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.78 to $20.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.5) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.92 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.92 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$19.78 -
$20.74
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.92)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.78 -
$20.74
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.27
Resistance Level
$20.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.50
Wall Street Target
$21.92
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.7%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.5 vs 25.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.73
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$18.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$19.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$27.71
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$25.28
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.9%)
$21.49
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$26.43
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.7%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$24.03
(+22%)
Market implied 22.7%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$13.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.5 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.02
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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