SCHL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHL - Scholastic Corp
$40.91
0.19 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
+7.46%
30d:
+5.6%
90d:
+20.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
SCHL is up 5.8% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 46 OI. Put ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.10
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHL is currently trading at $40.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.64 to $40.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.63, while resistance sits at $43.39.
Market Sentiment: SCHL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.63, while resistance sits at $43.39.
Market Sentiment: SCHL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.64 -
$40.28
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.64 -
$40.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.43
(3.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.63
Resistance Level
$43.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.28
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$41.65
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$42.02
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 47.1%)
$175.18
(+328%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 47.1%)
$130.24
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 47.1%)
$110.70
(+171%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$49.62
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$45.11
(+10%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$27.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 4:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SCHL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCHL price and gamma walls.
