SCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCL - Stepan Co.
$57.61
0.61 (1.07%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.50
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCL is currently trading at $57.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.62 to $54.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$47.62 -
$54.67
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
Protect Your Profits
SCL is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($75.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 7.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.62 -
$54.67
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.18
(7.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.37
Resistance Level
$57.52
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.22
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.4%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 14.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.85
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$62.84
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$65.98
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 56.6%)
$264.55
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 56.6%)
$192.37
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 56.6%)
$163.52
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$109.59
(+90%)
Analyst growth 77.5%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$99.63
(+73%)
Market implied 77.5%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$38.16
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCL price and gamma walls.
