SEDG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SEDG - SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.
$61.76
11.52 (22.93%)
▲
5d:
+49.54%
30d:
+58.73%
90d:
+73.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SEDG is down 10.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $42.5 2026-06-18 with 3,586 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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9 traders called SEDG this week
73% bullish • 4 bearish
73% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SEDG is 29.7% above its trading range ($47.62). Market expects -15.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SEDG is 29.7% above its trading range ($47.62). Market expects -15.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEDG is currently trading at $61.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.79 to $47.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 39.3) compared to its historical average (65.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 659.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEDG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 22.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SEDG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.57. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEDG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 22.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SEDG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.57. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.79 -
$47.62
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
SEDG is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+29.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+22.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 35.9% above Wall St target ($39.57)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 29.7% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.79 -
$47.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.55
Resistance Level
$59.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
39.27
Wall Street Target
$39.57
(-35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
659.8%
Profit Margin
-28.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
39.3 vs 65.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$50.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$45.02
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→65)
$74.99
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 39.3, Growth: 4017.5%)
$208.44
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 4017.5%)
$117.16
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 4017.5%)
$99.59
(+61%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 39.3 to 65.4
Stabilization Target:
$102.87
(+66.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SEDG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SEDG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SEDG price and gamma walls.
