SGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGA - Saga Communications, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FL)
$11.38
-0.11 (-0.96%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGA is currently trading at $11.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.14 to $11.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SGA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+56.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SGA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+56.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$11.14 -
$11.49
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -1.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.14 -
$11.49
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.08
Resistance Level
$11.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.28
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.1%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 20.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$11.77
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$11.91
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward K. Christian Trust
SELL
1669 shares
2025-10-21
Edward K. Christian Trust
SELL
761 shares
2025-10-16
Edward K. Christian Trust
SELL
682 shares
2025-10-15
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGA price and gamma walls.