SGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SGA - Saga Communications, Inc. Class A Common Stock (FL)

RADIO BROADCASTING STATIONS
$11.38
-0.11 (-0.96%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.63
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SGA is currently trading at $11.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.14 to $11.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SGA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SGA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+56.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $11.14 - $11.49
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($18.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -1.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.14 - $11.49
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.08
Resistance Level $11.55
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.28
Wall Street Target $18.00 (+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -56.1%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 20.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.63 (+1%)
2-Year Target $11.77 (+2%)
3-Year Target $11.91 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) PE COMPRESSION $11.47 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward K. Christian Trust SELL 1669 shares 2025-10-21
Edward K. Christian Trust SELL 761 shares 2025-10-16
Edward K. Christian Trust SELL 682 shares 2025-10-15

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Advanced SGA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGA price and gamma walls.

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