SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$9.47
-0.60 (-5.96%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Get Alerted When SGHC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.06
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $9.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.75 to $11.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 869.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+86.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.62 (+86.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.75 -
$11.62
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 86.1% below Wall St target ($17.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.75 -
$11.62
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.25
Resistance Level
$10.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.07
Wall Street Target
$17.63
(+86.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
869.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.05
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$8.65
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$8.27
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$9.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 59.2%)
$54.54
(+476%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 59.2%)
$31.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 59.2%)
$27.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$18.79
(+98%)
Analyst growth 72.5%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$17.08
(+80%)
Market implied 72.5%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$6.73
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.80
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gambling Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gambling by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DKNG
DraftKings Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$45 | 55 HOLD |
|
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$285 | 52 HOLD |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$138 | 59 HOLD |
|
RSI
Rush Street Interactive … |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$24 | 57 HOLD |
|
GAMB
Gambling.com Group Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$9 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced SGHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGHC price and gamma walls.