SGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$87.85
-2.27 (-2.52%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.83
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.62
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $87.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.71 to $93.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.0) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.29 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.29 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$89.71 -
$93.31
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
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Holding SGI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.29)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$89.71 -
$93.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.50
Resistance Level
$96.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.99
Wall Street Target
$102.29
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.03
(0%)
2-Year Target
$89.94
(0%)
3-Year Target
$89.85
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
$89.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 23.9%)
$171.47
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.9%)
$141.65
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 23.9%)
$120.40
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.37
Bull Case
$106.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$87.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$67.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 27.0
Stabilization Target:
$90.14
(+0.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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