SGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$73.52
4.15 (5.98%)
▲
5d:
-2.55%
30d:
-15.9%
90d:
-19.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Get Alerted When SGI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.20
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.20
39.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $73.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.46 to $86.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.30, while resistance sits at $77.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.38 (+49.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.30, while resistance sits at $77.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.38 (+49.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$73.46 -
$86.33
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.0% below Wall St target ($103.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$73.46 -
$86.33
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.30
Resistance Level
$77.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.95
Wall Street Target
$103.38
(+49.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 24.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.19
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$50.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→25)
$73.69
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$176.76
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 24.6%)
$134.06
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$113.95
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$158.11
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$143.74
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$48.87
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 24.7
Stabilization Target:
$101.08
(+45.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-09
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-01-22
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-01-12
Top Rated Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SN
SharkNinja, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$150 | 55 HOLD |
|
MHK
Mohawk Industries Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$144 | 56 HOLD |
|
LOVE
The Lovesac Company |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$25 | 55 HOLD |
|
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$111 | 56 HOLD |
|
WHR
Whirlpool Corporation |
SELL
11 analysts |
$85 | 54 HOLD |