SN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SN - SharkNinja, Inc.
$106.37
-0.33 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-4.75%
30d:
-7.41%
90d:
-18.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SN is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-07-17 with 2,148 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.08
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.02
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SN is currently trading at $106.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.97 to $117.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $102.83, while resistance sits at $121.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $149.41 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $102.83, while resistance sits at $121.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $149.41 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$108.97 -
$117.91
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($149.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.97 -
$117.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.83
Resistance Level
$121.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.23
Wall Street Target
$149.41
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.69
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$96.91
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$92.35
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$106.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.2%)
$229.89
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 14.2%)
$158.86
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 14.2%)
$135.03
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.96
Bull Case
$159.95
(+50%)
Analyst growth 41.3%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$145.40
(+36%)
Market implied 41.3%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$70.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$123.31
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Quigley
SELL
2620 shares
2026-03-04
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