SIMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SIMO - Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
$118.93
2.76 (2.38%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SIMO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SIMO is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.40
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SIMO is currently trading at $118.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.08 to $117.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $111.00, while resistance sits at $127.67.
Market Sentiment: SIMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SIMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $111.00, while resistance sits at $127.67.
Market Sentiment: SIMO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$95.08 -
$117.97
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SIMO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($119.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$95.08 -
$117.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.00
Resistance Level
$127.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.42
Wall Street Target
$119.09
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.36
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$121.80
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$123.26
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$118.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 35.8%)
$297.76
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.8%)
$271.94
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 35.8%)
$231.15
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$219.37
(+85%)
Analyst growth 70.3%, PE expands to 45.0
Base Case
$199.43
(+68%)
Market implied 70.3%, PE stable at 40.9
Bear Case
$79.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SIMO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SIMO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SIMO price and gamma walls.
