SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$126.74
-1.68 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
-5.06%
30d:
-8.96%
90d:
+1.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$231.83
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$143.95
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $126.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.06 to $141.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.60 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $123.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $175.60 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$129.06 -
$141.13
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($175.60)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$129.06 -
$141.13
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.83
Resistance Level
$141.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.52
Wall Street Target
$175.60
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 28.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.88
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$111.51
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$104.60
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→29)
$126.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 19.2%)
$214.39
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 19.2%)
$187.48
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 19.2%)
$159.36
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.36
Bull Case
$224.81
(+68%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$204.38
(+52%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$86.67
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 28.5
Stabilization Target:
$153.56
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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