SMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMC - Summit Midstream Corporation
$28.71
0.16 (0.56%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SMC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SMC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.08
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMC is currently trading at $28.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.27 to $27.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+64.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SMC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.00 (+64.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.27 -
$27.92
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.6% below Wall St target ($47.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.27 -
$27.92
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.13
(7.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.68
Resistance Level
$29.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.72
Wall Street Target
$47.00
(+64.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.4%
Profit Margin
-2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.65
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$30.21
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SMC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SMC price and gamma walls.
