SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$2.68
0.01 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
-1.11%
90d:
-64.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMWB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -22.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SMWB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -22.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.01
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.22
56.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $2.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.60 to $2.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.44, while resistance sits at $2.81.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.42 (+102.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.44, while resistance sits at $2.81.
Market Sentiment: SMWB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.42 (+102.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$2.60 -
$2.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 102.1% below Wall St target ($5.42)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.60 -
$2.77
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.45
Resistance Level
$2.81
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.97
Wall Street Target
$5.42
(+102.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Profit Margin
-11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-22.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-22.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.41
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→23)
$4.13
(+54%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 20.4%)
$8.77
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 20.4%)
$4.68
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$3.98
(+48%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.67
(+111.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+111.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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