SMWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SMWB - Similarweb Ltd.
$5.21
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-9.23%
30d:
-30.44%
90d:
-37.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SMWB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SMWB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.11
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMWB is currently trading at $5.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.63 to $7.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (33.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.81 (+126.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMWB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.81 (+126.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.63 -
$7.19
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 126.7% below Wall St target ($11.81)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.63 -
$7.19
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.21
Resistance Level
$6.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.79
Wall Street Target
$11.81
(+126.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Profit Margin
-11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 33.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.80
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$4.42
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$4.07
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→33)
$5.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 166.1%)
$17.58
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 166.1%)
$15.20
(+192%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 166.1%)
$12.92
(+148%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 33.0
Stabilization Target:
$6.67
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SMWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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