SN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SN - SharkNinja, Inc.
$118.20
-1.15 (-0.96%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.21
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.14
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SN is currently trading at $118.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.57 to $124.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.27 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.27 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$114.57 -
$124.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($139.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$114.57 -
$124.37
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.26
Resistance Level
$128.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.95
Wall Street Target
$139.27
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$123.69
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$125.91
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.2%)
$209.08
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$187.06
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$159.00
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.05
Bull Case
$194.71
(+65%)
Analyst growth 47.7%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$177.01
(+50%)
Market implied 47.7%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$81.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SN showing a specific setup today?
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