SGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$78.43
1.26 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+15.37%
90d:
+6.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.42
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.85
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $78.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.11 to $76.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.25 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.25 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.11 -
$76.53
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($97.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.11 -
$76.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.30
Resistance Level
$73.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.08
Wall Street Target
$97.25
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.4%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.10
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$72.02
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$78.55
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.8%)
$161.49
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.8%)
$148.89
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 23.8%)
$126.56
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$132.61
(+69%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$120.56
(+54%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$52.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$85.53
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-31
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-16
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-13
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