SOBO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SOBO - South Bow Corporation
$28.40
-0.23 (-0.80%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: SOBO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: SOBO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.75
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.85
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SOBO is currently trading at $28.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.37 to $28.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SOBO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SOBO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SOBO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SOBO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.37 -
$28.17
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.37 -
$28.17
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$1.43
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.15
Resistance Level
$28.73
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.45
Wall Street Target
$28.42
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.0%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.83
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.26
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$29.70
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16ā16)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.6%)
$36.69
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -1.6%)
$27.06
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: -1.6%)
$23.00
(-19%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$33.73
(+19%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$30.66
(+8%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$19.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 AM
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Advanced SOBO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SOBO price and gamma walls.
