SOFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SOFI - SoFi Technologies, Inc. Common Stock

FINANCE SERVICES
$22.81
-1.55 (-6.36%) ā–¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: SOFI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.50
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SOFI is currently trading at $22.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.21 to $27.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.6) is in line with its historical norms (46.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 105.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SOFI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: SOFI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.11 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $25.21 - $27.64
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.11)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.8%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $25.21 - $27.64
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.94
Resistance Level $26.78
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.64
Wall Street Target $27.11 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 105.9%
Profit Margin 19.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 44.6 vs 46.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.04 (-1%)
2-Year Target $23.73 (-3%)
3-Year Target $23.42 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45→46) $24.35 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 44.6, Growth: 50.1%) $82.22 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.1%) $41.07 (+69%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 50.1%) $34.91 (+43%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 43.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case $26.37 (+16%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 48.3
Base Case $23.97 (+5%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 43.9
Bear Case $16.73 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
šŸ’” Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.6 to 46.4
Stabilization Target: $25.32 (+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kelli Keough SELL 10036 shares 2025-10-20
Jeremy Rishel SELL 98733 shares 2025-09-18
Kelli Keough SELL 10036 shares 2025-09-18

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Advanced SOFI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SOFI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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