SPGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPGI - S&P Global Inc.
$425.17
-0.17 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
+4.09%
30d:
-4.24%
90d:
-19.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
25d
Smart Money Distribution
SPGI is up 4.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $400 2026-06-18 with 533 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.8% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.8% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$756.63
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$469.81
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPGI is currently trading at $425.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $414.91 to $441.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $433.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $538.52 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $433.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $538.52 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$414.91 -
$441.24
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($538.52)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$414.91 -
$441.24
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$403.37
Resistance Level
$433.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.26
Wall Street Target
$538.52
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
29.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$400.51
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$377.28
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$355.40
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$426.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$703.38
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$606.05
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$515.14
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.64
Bull Case
$704.09
(+64%)
Analyst growth 50.8%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$640.08
(+49%)
Market implied 50.8%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$288.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$510.01
(+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2026-02-24
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SELL
2026-02-17
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SELL
2026-02-06
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Advanced SPGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SPGI price and gamma walls.
