SPGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPGI - S&P Global Inc.
$415.99
9.75 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
-3.0%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
-21.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
28d
Smart Money Distribution
SPGI is up 5.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $370 2026-04-17 with 1,068 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SPGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SPGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$759.91
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$471.84
11.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPGI is currently trading at $415.99, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $413.91 to $440.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $403.37, while resistance sits at $435.97.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $538.52 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $403.37, while resistance sits at $435.97.
Market Sentiment: SPGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $538.52 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$413.91 -
$440.93
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SPGI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($538.52)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$413.91 -
$440.93
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$403.37
Resistance Level
$435.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.40
Wall Street Target
$538.52
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.0%
Profit Margin
29.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$375.77
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$347.59
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$321.52
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$405.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$704.96
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$579.06
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$492.21
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.64
Bull Case
$704.09
(+64%)
Analyst growth 50.8%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$640.08
(+49%)
Market implied 50.8%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$288.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$512.22
(+26.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
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Advanced SPGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SPGI price and gamma walls.
