SPGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPGI - S&P Global Inc.
$527.79
-0.84 (-0.16%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPGI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$726.45
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$451.07
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPGI is currently trading at $527.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $524.04 to $541.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.5) is in line with its historical norms (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $518.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $622.74 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $518.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $622.74 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$524.04 -
$541.77
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($622.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$524.04 -
$541.77
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$518.32
Resistance Level
$548.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.50
Wall Street Target
$622.74
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 26.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$530.74
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$532.87
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$535.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27ā26)
PE COMPRESSION
$528.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$737.00
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$620.12
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$527.10
(0%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.73
Bull Case
$843.94
(+60%)
Analyst growth 45.3%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$767.22
(+45%)
Market implied 45.3%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$359.12
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-26
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