NDAQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NDAQ - Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
$84.66
1.93 (2.33%)
▲
5d:
+9.03%
30d:
-3.7%
90d:
-0.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NDAQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NDAQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.89
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.86
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NDAQ is currently trading at $84.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.27 to $90.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.13 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.13 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$81.27 -
$90.34
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($106.13)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.27 -
$90.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.16
Resistance Level
$93.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.08
Wall Street Target
$106.13
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.8%
Profit Margin
35.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.78
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$79.00
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$76.31
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$84.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$137.84
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$120.73
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 12.6%)
$102.62
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$121.65
(+44%)
Analyst growth 33.7%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$110.59
(+31%)
Market implied 33.7%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$56.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$94.08
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NDAQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adena T Friedman
SELL
113611 shares
2026-04-01
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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