SPNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$20.19
-0.25 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
-4.18%
90d:
+10.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPNT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.16
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $20.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.71 to $21.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2648.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.15, while resistance sits at $20.92.
Market Sentiment: SPNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.15, while resistance sits at $20.92.
Market Sentiment: SPNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$19.71 -
$21.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($25.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.71 -
$21.18
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.19
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.15
Resistance Level
$20.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.34
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2648.5%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.83
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$19.65
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$20.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 41.5%)
$54.64
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 41.5%)
$20.44
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 41.5%)
$17.38
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$33.18
(+64%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$30.16
(+49%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$13.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$20.81
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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