SPNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPNT - SiriusPoint Ltd.
$21.54
0.37 (1.75%)
▲
5d:
+1.8%
30d:
+0.23%
90d:
-2.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.35
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPNT is currently trading at $21.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.50 to $21.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2648.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+11.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$20.50 -
$21.32
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.50 -
$21.32
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.27
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.00
Resistance Level
$21.73
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.77
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2648.5%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.77
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$20.40
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$21.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.3%)
$80.99
(+276%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 9.3%)
$28.15
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 9.3%)
$23.92
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.64
Bull Case
$17.08
(-19%)
Analyst growth -23.8%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case
$15.53
(-26%)
Market implied -23.8%, PE stable at 5.6
Bear Case
$13.86
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.74
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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