SPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SPT - Sprout Social, Inc Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$5.70
0.16 (2.89%) ▲
5d: +3.64%
30d: -12.44%
90d: -49.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

SPT is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-05-15 with 142 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SPT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -20.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.82
58.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SPT is currently trading at $5.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.62 to $6.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.39, while resistance sits at $6.01.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.60 (+68.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $5.62 - $6.68
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 68.4% below Wall St target ($9.60)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.62 - $6.68
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.39
Resistance Level $6.02
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.59
Wall Street Target $9.60 (+68.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.9%
Profit Margin -9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -20.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.6 vs 9.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -20.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.13 (-10%)
2-Year Target $4.62 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.16 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→9) $8.33 (+46%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 36.0%) $69.77 (+1124%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 36.0%) $14.33 (+151%)
Bear: (PE: 3.9, Growth: 36.0%) $12.18 (+114%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 9.2
Stabilization Target: $11.43 (+100.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +100.4%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 40000 shares 2026-03-11
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 23855 shares 2026-03-03
Justyn Russell Howard SELL 40000 shares 2026-01-09

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Advanced SPT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SPT price and gamma walls.

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