SPWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPWR - Complete Solaria, Inc. Common Stock
$0.63
-0.03 (-4.62%)
▼
5d:
+1.06%
30d:
-35.6%
90d:
-50.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPWR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPWR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.24
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.77
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPWR is currently trading at $0.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.66 to $1.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (4.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+644.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+644.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.66 -
$1.00
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 644.7% below Wall St target ($4.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.66 -
$1.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.78
Resistance Level
$1.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.08
Wall Street Target
$4.70
(+644.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
-15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.1 vs 4.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.46
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$0.64
(+2%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.1 to 4.3
Stabilization Target:
$0.88
(+39.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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