SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$83.21
1.39 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+7.55%
30d:
+15.54%
90d:
+20.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.43
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.16
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $83.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.71 to $79.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $86.09.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $86.09.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$72.71 -
$79.93
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($75.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$72.71 -
$79.93
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.52
Resistance Level
$86.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.15
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(-9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.3%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.53
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$73.39
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$83.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 5.6%)
$132.97
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 5.6%)
$97.92
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 5.6%)
$83.24
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$156.55
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$142.32
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$48.39
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$94.48
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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