SSD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSD - Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
$178.62
-7.02 (-3.78%)
▼
5d:
-5.3%
30d:
+5.16%
90d:
-14.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SSD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SSD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.22
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSD is currently trading at $178.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.70 to $190.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $178.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+21.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $178.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $217.80 (+21.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$177.70 -
$190.11
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($217.80)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$177.70 -
$190.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.51
Resistance Level
$198.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.13
Wall Street Target
$217.80
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$172.25
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$169.15
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$179.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$283.16
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$232.58
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$197.70
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.52
Bull Case
$236.16
(+32%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$214.69
(+20%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$126.24
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$189.18
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip E Donaldson
SELL
2375 shares
2025-12-12
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