SSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SSL - Sasol Limited
$13.11
0.40 (3.15%)
β²
5d:
+7.2%
30d:
+46.97%
90d:
+104.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD - EXTENDED: SSL is 7.5% above fair value ($12.20). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
π HOLD - EXTENDED: SSL is 7.5% above fair value ($12.20). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.57
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SSL is currently trading at $13.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.69 to $12.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (5.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SSL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$8.69 -
$12.20
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 43.6% above Wall St target ($7.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.7% growth with 0.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.69 -
$12.20
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.90
Resistance Level
$13.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.71
Wall Street Target
$7.40
(-43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.8%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 5.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.91
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$16.95
(+29%)
3-Year Target
$19.27
(+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β5)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.00
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$56.30
(+329%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$19.42
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$13.10
(0%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 7.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.57
Bull Case
$14.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$12.23
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$9.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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