STAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

STAA - Staar Surgical Co

OPHTHALMIC GOODS
$18.95
0.01 (0.05%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: STAA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.13
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: STAA is currently trading at $18.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.42 to $23.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 51.5) compared to its historical average (65.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.36 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $20.42 - $23.77
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($23.36)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.42 - $23.77
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.67
Resistance Level $21.27
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 51.45
Wall Street Target $23.36 (+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.5%
Profit Margin -41.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 51.5 vs 65.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.49 (-8%)
2-Year Target $16.14 (-15%)
3-Year Target $14.90 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 51β†’65) $18.94 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 51.5, Growth: 2669.2%) $63.96 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 2669.2%) $27.72 (+46%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 2669.2%) $23.56 (+24%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.5 to 65.4
Stabilization Target: $24.09 (+27.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +27.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced STAA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STAA price and gamma walls.

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