STAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAA - Staar Surgical Co
$18.70
0.36 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
-1.42%
30d:
-1.84%
90d:
-20.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
STAA is down 8.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-04-17 with 119 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STAA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -23.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STAA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -23.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.85
24.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAA is currently trading at $18.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.76 to $19.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (50.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.83, while resistance sits at $19.34.
Market Sentiment: STAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.83, while resistance sits at $19.34.
Market Sentiment: STAA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$17.76 -
$19.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.72)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.76 -
$19.35
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.83
Resistance Level
$19.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.75
Wall Street Target
$19.72
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Profit Margin
-33.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 50.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.83
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.15
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.63
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→50)
$30.08
(+61%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 38.9%)
$50.06
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 38.9%)
$49.18
(+163%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 38.9%)
$41.80
(+124%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.7 to 50.2
Stabilization Target:
$41.26
(+120.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+120.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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Advanced STAA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STAA price and gamma walls.
