STGW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STGW - Stagwell Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.19
0.17 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
-3.81%
30d:
+26.48%
90d:
+32.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
STGW is down 9.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-03-20 with 1,826 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STGW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STGW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.67
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STGW is currently trading at $6.18, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.00 to $6.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STGW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.86, while resistance sits at $7.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.25 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STGW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.86, while resistance sits at $7.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.25 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$5.00 -
$6.44
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.3% below Wall St target ($8.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.00 -
$6.44
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.86
Resistance Level
$7.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.66
Wall Street Target
$8.25
(+37.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 5.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.17
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$6.34
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$6.51
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.98
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.4%)
$54.99
(+815%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 32.4%)
$13.96
(+132%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 32.4%)
$11.87
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 5.20 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.16
Bull Case
$7.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case
$6.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 5.2
Bear Case
$4.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STGW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced STGW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STGW price and gamma walls.
