STRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRW - Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc.
$13.12
0.26 (2.02%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.12
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRW is currently trading at $13.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.97 to $13.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$12.97 -
$13.34
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.86)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.97 -
$13.34
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.75
Resistance Level
$13.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.64
Wall Street Target
$13.86
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.83
(0%)
2-Year Target
$12.81
(0%)
3-Year Target
$12.78
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$12.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$24.61
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$20.57
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.9%)
$17.48
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case
$15.94
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.1%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$14.49
(+10%)
Market implied 13.1%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$8.71
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$12.90
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRW showing a specific setup today?
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STRW price and gamma walls.
