STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$123.42
0.90 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
-4.04%
90d:
-6.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 17, 2026
17d
Smart Money Accumulation
STT is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $135 2026-04-17 with 655 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.85
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.99
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $123.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.90 to $128.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $119.11, while resistance sits at $128.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.30 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $119.11, while resistance sits at $128.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.30 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$121.90 -
$128.58
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($144.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$121.90 -
$128.58
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.11
Resistance Level
$128.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.48
Wall Street Target
$144.30
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$116.85
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$113.69
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$123.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.6%)
$403.87
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 11.6%)
$171.35
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 11.6%)
$145.65
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.40
Bull Case
$185.77
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.5%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$168.88
(+37%)
Market implied 38.5%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$82.94
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$134.06
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Plansky
SELL
16100 shares
2026-03-11
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Jake Auchincloss
SELL
2026-02-17
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