STT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STT - State Street Corporation
$130.86
-0.57 (-0.43%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.80
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.17
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STT is currently trading at $130.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.95 to $133.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$127.95 -
$133.43
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($143.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$127.95 -
$133.43
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.12
Resistance Level
$133.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.08
Wall Street Target
$143.60
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$125.17
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$122.41
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$131.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$404.73
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 11.8%)
$182.87
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$155.44
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.40
Bull Case
$194.99
(+49%)
Analyst growth 38.5%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$177.26
(+36%)
Market implied 38.5%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$87.05
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$140.26
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jake Auchincloss
SELL
2025-08-18
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