SWKS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWKS - Skyworks Solutions Inc
$52.50
-1.15 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.65%
30d:
-11.88%
90d:
-18.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
SWKS is up 3.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 1,862 OI. Put ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWKS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWKS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.90
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.23
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWKS is currently trading at $52.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.00 to $58.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWKS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.16 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWKS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.16 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$54.00 -
$58.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($67.16)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.00 -
$58.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.43
Resistance Level
$57.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.53
Wall Street Target
$67.16
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.0%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.56
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$46.78
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$44.16
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$52.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$135.41
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$63.77
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$54.20
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61
Bull Case
$114.45
(+110%)
Analyst growth 91.1%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$104.04
(+91%)
Market implied 91.1%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$37.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$62.35
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-13
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Advanced SWKS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWKS price and gamma walls.
